Thursday, April 30, 2009

Kurlantzick: The Bourgeois Revolution

How the global middle class declared war on democracy

Dictatorship of the bourgeosie: Middle class “yellow-shirt” protesters were responsible for forcing Thailand’s elected government from power.

[ Very long, informative, thoughtful article. ]

Thursday, April 23, 2009

spiegel.de on US financial crisis

Crisis Plunges US Middle Class into Poverty

spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,620754,00.html

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

German paper: ‘I TAKE RESPONSIBILITY’ [ Obama on financial crisis ]

[ Obama said ] “It is true, as my Italian friend has said, that the crisis began in the US. I take responsibility, even if I wasn’t even president at the time.” And he underscored how important it is for him “that we now genuinely make progress. Thank you.” Applause.

The others couldn’t believe their ears. Was that really a confession of guilt from the US? Was it a translation error, or at least an inaccuracy? Afterwards, this sentence fueled long discussions among the members of the German delegation. German Chancellor Angela Merkel was so impressed by Obama’s statement that she rushed to tell her finance minister, Peer Steinbrück. Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso reacted immediately: The proposal to hold the next summit not in Japan, but rather in the US, is something that he no longer rejects, he says, “now that the US has shouldered responsibility.”

continue to read: 3 page article here

spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,617639,00.html

Friday, April 3, 2009

UK Telegraph: Obama rejects Normandy trip to avoid offending Germany

Barack Obama, concerned about offending Britain and Germany, rebuffed strenuous attempts by President Nicolas Sarkozy of France to persuade the new American president to make a trip to Normandy this week.


“It wasn’t going to happen,” said an American official in Washington. “We went through the motions to placate President Sarkozy but giving special treatment to France was not on our agenda. “During this trip, we wanted to maintain a balance between the British, German and France”. A White House spokesman in London declined to comment.


telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/barackobama/5096803/Barack-Obama-rejects-Normandy-trip-to-avoid-offending-Germany.html

UK Guardian: The question that flummoxed the great orator

[ I'm cutting Crace's snark, Obama's own words are bad enough. ]

Nick Robinson: "A question for you both, if I may. The prime minister has repeatedly blamed the United States of America for causing this crisis. France and Germany both blame Britain and America for causing this crisis. Who is right? And isn't the debate about that at the heart of the debate about what to do now?"

Brown immediately swivels to leave Obama in pole position. There is a four-second delay before Obama starts speaking

Barack Obama: "I, I, would say that, er ... pause  ... if you look at ... pause... the, the sources of this crisis ... pause ... the United States certainly has some accounting to do with respect to . . .pause  ... a regulatory system that was inadequate to the massive changes that have taken place in the global financial system ... pause, close eyes. I think what is also true is that ... pause ... here in Great Britain ... pause ... here in continental Europe ... pause... around the world. We were seeing the same mismatch between the regulatory regimes that were in place and er ...pause... the highly integrated, er, global capital markets that have emerged ... pause So at this point, I'm less interested in ...pause... identifying blame than fixing the problem. I think we've taken some very aggressive steps in the United States to do so, not just responding to the immediate crisis, ensuring banks are adequately capitalised, er, dealing with the enormous, er ... pause ... drop-off in demand and contraction that has taken place. More importantly, for the long term, making sure that we've got a set of, er, er, regulations that are up to the task, er, and that includes, er, a number that will be discussed at this summit. I think there's a lot of convergence between all the parties involved about the need, for example, to focus not on the legal form that a particular financial product takes or the institution it emerges from, but rather what's the risk involved, what's the function of this product and how do we regulate that adequately, much more effective coordination, er, between countries so we can, er, anticipate the risks that are involved there. Dealing with the, er, problem of derivatives markets, making sure we have set up systems, er, that can reduce some of the risks there. So, I actually think ... pause ... there's enormous consensus that has emerged in terms of what we need to do now and, er ... pause  ... I'm a great believer in looking forwards than looking backwards.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/apr/03/g20-barack-obama-nick-robinson-question



Litle: The AIG Connection – Far Worse Than You Think

[E]verything this administration has done, every last damn thing, has been favorable to one of Wall Street’s most entrenched interest groups: the bondholders.

The bondholders, the bondholders. It’s always been about them [....] to make sure that the connected financial interests in his Rolodex don’t lose their stakes, even in cases where they oh-so-richly deserve to.

This, by the way, is why the Obama administration ruled out the nationalization option for the banks from day one.

The cleanest option, and one we called for loudly in these pages – taking over the banks, throwing out current management, selling off the assets and starting over – was no-go because too many connected players would have taken a hit if their big bond positions went to zero. 


[ Too much good stuff to quote,  see the article and scroll down a couple of screens to the meat.

First see the excellent take from wbboei which I've inserted as a Comment to this post. ]


EASY POST comment form at the bottom; no login, few comments so far.



Thursday, April 2, 2009

UK Reuters: U.S. eases accounting rules as G20 acts

World leaders agreed on Thursday to tighten financial regulations and increase funding for poor nations, while a U.S. accounting body moved to ease rules for banks that forced billions of dollars of writedowns.

uk.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUKTRE5315IA20090402?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0

UK Globe/Mail: Obama the big loser at the G20

He came looking for an international agreement to pursue stimulus measures, convinced that the approach he’s pursuing domestically is the way to end the global economic crisis. 
[....]
In the end, Mr. Obama had to give way - principally to French and German objections. Worse, from the American point of view, the stimulus that was agreed to at the meeting is particularly costly for U.S. taxpayers.
[....] 
 Barack Obama emerges as the big loser of this meeting - which is not an auspicious launching pad for the NATO meeting that begins tomorrow.

by Norman Spector

theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20090402.WBSpector20090402123910/WBStory/WBSpector

NQ: [ No Bradley effect ]

Today the American Association for Public Opinion Research Ad Hoc Committee on the 2008 Presidential Primary Polling released a pdf report on the methodologies utilized by pollsters during the Democratic primaries. It is a long report, and a cursory analysis of it is available at Pollster.com.  [....]

And here is what their extensive and rigorous report found (pages 53-54):

Several compelling pieces of evidence suggest that the New Hampshire estimation errors were probably not caused by the “Bradley effect” – or the tendency for respondents to report a preference for a black candidate (Obama) but vote instead for a white opponent. A meta-analysis by Hopkins (2008) indicates that while the Bradley effect did undermine some state-level polls in previous decades, there is no evidence for such an effect in recent years.

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

UK Guardian: G20 protests: riot police clash with demonstrators

Much of the protesting, from an estimated 4,000 people in the financial centre of the capital, was peaceful, but some bloody skirmishes broke out as police tried to keep thousands of people in containment pens surrounding the Bank of England on Threadneedle Street.


Selected photos:
http://mountainsageblog.com/2009/04/01/g20-protests-erupt-in-london/

More photos and story here:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/gallery/2009/apr/01/g20-protest?picture=345344194

UK Daily Mail: Obama told a joke and Brown laughed...

The Daily Mail reported:


Allegedly the most charismatic politician in the world, Mr Obama was a disappointment. It sounded as though he had a blocked nose and so his lack of energy may have been a symptom of a cold. Jet lag, too. He probably wished he could have stayed in bed. 

He spoke slowly, in a meandering manner. Some might say that he was thoughtful and professorial. Others might call his manner circuitous, even yarny. Am I saying that he was a bore? Oh dear. I find that I possibly am.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-1166498/QUENTIN-LETTS-Obama-told-joke-Brown-laughed--laughed--laughed--laughed.html

[ Okay, this is snark, but it's Brit snark. ]

[ The date says it all. ]

Obama Recovering After Closed Captioning ‘Mishap’ 

by Mac Johnson
04/01/2009 

Bethesda, Md. — Doctors were said to be treating President Barack Obama at Bethesda Naval Hospital today for exhaustion and possible vocal cord injuries after a freak television accident occurred at the White House Tuesday evening. 

According to a statement read by White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs, President Obama, noted for his near total dependence on the teleprompter when speaking, was leaving a practice session for an upcoming press conference when he happened upon a muted television set near the White House Briefing Room on which someone had activated the “closed captioning” function. “Apparently, Mr. Obama mistook the captioning for his new flat screen teleprompter and began reading the text aloud,” Gibbs said. Gibbs stated that “what followed was a tragic marathon speaking session that lasted for nearly 14 hours before staff discovered Obama and disconnected the device.”

The President’s accidental filibuster was said to have included a 2-hour episode of “The Biggest Loser,” a much anticipated “Law and Order: Special Victim’s Unit,” the local evening news, and a late night paid infomercial for “natural male enhancement.” The press later described Obama’s reading of the captioning as “eloquent” (New York Times), “historic” (CNN), and “emotionally moving” (Newsweek).

This event comes on the heels of several embarrassing teleprompter gaffes by Obama, including one in which he thanked himself for being invited to the United States [....]

humanevents.com/article.php?id=31285